Live market readUpdated Aug 15, 11:59 PM EDT

Current regime · state 3 of 9

The tape is supportive.

Bull, stalling.

Trend intact but short-term fatigue. Tighten stops on existing longs.

Market posture

Risk-on
3/9
Confidence
79%
Days here
6
Last flip
Aug 7

The four readings that matter

What is driving today's regime.

Plain-English status first. The underlying readings stay visible for anyone who wants the detail.

Market fear

VIX

Calm
14.3
-0.38 day over day

Short-term momentum

Fast SQN · 4 weeks

Bullish
+1.21
+0.26 day over day

Long-term trend

Slow SQN · 5 months

Bullish
+1.94
-0.13 day over day

Credit conditions

HYG / LQD · 20-day trend

Risk-on
+1.43%
+0.30% day over day

System posture

What the systems are doing about it.

One market read, translated into the operating posture for each system.

TrendLock
Active

Trend signals are in play.

SwingHunter
Paused

All cash with no positions.

VoltAIc
TQQQ

60% of a full position used.

Last 30 sessions

See the path, not just the point.

The classifier has spent 6 sessions in state 3.

Most recent observation: 2026-08-14
BULLISH ZONEBEARISH ZONE1 · Bull strong2 · Bull expanding3 · Bull stalling4 · Chop neutral5 · Chop bearish6 · Bear stalling7 · Bear expanding8 · Bear strong9 · Crisis3Jul 6Jul 10Jul 16Jul 22Jul 28Aug 3Aug 7Aug 14

Regime ladder

Nine states. One current position.

The highlighted card is today. Green states favor risk, amber states call for restraint, and red states turn defensive.

01

Bull momentum, strong

Trends aligned across timeframes. Press longs.

02

Bull momentum, expanding

Momentum building. Add on pullbacks.

03Today

Bull, stalling

Trend intact, but short-term momentum is fading.

04

Chop, neutral bias

Mean-reversion conditions. Reduce size.

05

Chop, bearish bias

Rip-sells favored over dip-buys.

06

Bear, stalling

Downtrend intact. Avoid momentum longs.

07

Bear momentum, expanding

Defensive positioning favored.

08

Bear momentum, strong

Risk-off. Trend longs stand down.

09

Crisis

Volatility and breadth capitulation.

Methodology

Two SQN readings. Nine states.

Fast SQN captures the last four weeks. Slow SQN captures the last five months. Their direction, slope, and divergence define the base regime.

Volatility and credit conditions add context. A crisis override activates when market stress moves beyond the normal bearish ladder.

Before the open

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